TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 20, 6:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Germany will defeat Ivory Coast by more than 1.5 goals in their FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 20, 2026. On Kalshi, the probability of Germany winning by over 1.5 goals stands at 100.0%, while the probability of Germany winning by over 2.5 goals is 100.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Watch for the completion of the full 90-minute match on June 20, 2026, which will determine the final goal differential and settle the market.
Resolution is determined by the final margin of victory in the Germany vs Ivory Coast professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for June 20, 2026, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). The event includes four distinct outcomes based on goal spreads: Germany winning by more than 2.5 goals, Germany winning by more than 1.5 goals, Ivory Coast winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Ivory Coast winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each outcome resolves independently to Yes if its specified condition is met based on the final match score.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook spreads because they reflect crowd-sourced trader sentiment rather than oddsmaker models. Sportsbooks adjust lines to balance action and manage liability, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized beliefs about the likely outcome. For the Germany vs Ivory Coast spread, comparing Kalshi probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether traders are more or less bullish on Germany's margin of victory than professional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, the Germany vs Ivory Coast: Spread market is priced as a binary contract reflecting whether Germany will win by a specific margin or more. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the price representing the implied probability of the outcome. The contract settles based on the final goal differential when the match concludes on Jun 21, 2026, and active trading throughout the event window allows the price to shift as new information and team news emerge.
The Germany vs Ivory Coast: Spread market resolves on Jun 21, 2026 following the conclusion of the match. The outcome is determined by the final goal differential between the two teams. Traders should monitor official match results and any official league communications to confirm the exact margin. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle once the result is verified and confirmed by the relevant sporting authorities.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, and recent form trends for both Germany and Ivory Coast. Tactical shifts, coaching decisions, and head-to-head historical performance can also influence trader expectations of the goal margin. Weather conditions on match day, venue factors, and late-breaking developments in the hours before kickoff may prompt sharp traders to adjust positions, causing the Kalshi price to move significantly as the Jun 21, 2026 event approaches.