TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 20, 4:55 PM EST
Kalshi
Two competing teams compete in a FIFA World Cup match, with focus on the total number of goals scored by both teams combined during the first half.
Resolution is based on the total combined goals scored by Germany and Ivory Coast during the first half of their professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for June 20, 2026. Only goals scored during the first half count toward this event. The event includes four outcomes corresponding to whether the combined first-half total exceeds 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, or 3.5 goals. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader consensus and often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts. While sports analysts may rely on team statistics, recent form, and tactical breakdowns, prediction markets incorporate live information and trader conviction through actual financial stakes. For the Germany vs Ivory Coast first half total, comparing Kalshi odds to published expert predictions can reveal where the market sees value or where analysts may have an edge. This comparison helps identify potential mispricings.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the Germany vs Ivory Coast first half total is priced through a binary or multi-outcome contract reflecting trader bets on total goals or shots in the opening 45 minutes. Prices move based on order flow and market depth; as more traders buy or sell a given outcome, the contract price shifts to reflect new consensus. Kalshi's pricing mechanism ensures real-time discovery of fair value for this specific match segment, with spreads tightening as liquidity increases closer to kickoff.
The market resolves on Jun 21, 2026 following the conclusion of the first half of the Germany vs Ivory Coast match. Resolution is determined by the official final statistics recorded for the first 45 minutes of play, including all stoppages. The specific outcome metric—whether total goals, total shots, or another statistic—defines which contract outcome is correct. Once the first half ends and official data is confirmed, the market settles and winning positions are credited.
Key catalysts include team news such as injury announcements, lineup confirmations, or tactical changes that affect attacking or defensive intensity. Pre-match analysis from credible sources can shift trader expectations about first-half pace and scoring likelihood. Weather conditions, venue factors, and recent form updates may also influence market prices. As kickoff approaches, early match action—such as an early goal or red card—will trigger sharp repricing. Monitor official team announcements and live match commentary for real-time signals that could move odds significantly.