TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming UEFA Nations League soccer match between Germany and Greece. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the anticipated offensive performance of both teams within the standard match timeframe.
The event evaluates multiple threshold-based outcomes for the total goals scored in the Germany vs Greece UEFA Nations League match scheduled for September 27, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a progressively higher goal threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5 goals). For any threshold, if the cumulative goals scored by both teams after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time—excluding extra time or penalty kicks—exceeds that threshold, the respective market resolves positively (Yes). The rules consistently apply to the official match duration and explicitly state that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates insights from many individuals. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when public opinion strongly favors a particular outcome. Analyzing these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember each represents a distinct form of forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts corresponding to different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market's depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in each potential outcome, providing a dynamic assessment of the match’s expected goal tally.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Germany vs Greece match will be the determining factor. This includes goals scored during regular play and any added time, but excludes penalty shootouts. The final score will be sourced from official match data to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Germany or Greece would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced before the match could also shift expectations. Even weather conditions on match day, such as heavy rain or strong winds, might impact the perceived likelihood of a high-scoring or low-scoring game, leading to adjustments in the market price. Public sentiment and late-breaking news are also potential catalysts.