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Closed: Sep 27, 6:44 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Germany and Greece, scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Germany" if Germany score more goals than Greece in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Germany and Greece score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Greece" if Greece score more goals than Germany in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Germany and Greece, scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Germany" if Germany score more goals than Greece in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Germany and Greece score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Greece" if Greece score more goals than Germany in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its shares will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd participating on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Germany vs. Greece second half will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will rely on official sources to verify the final score and determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result. Traders who hold shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Sep 27, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Germany or Greece would likely impact the odds. Changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced before the match could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day might also play a role, as could any late-breaking news about team morale or internal conflicts. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each team’s chances of winning the second half could cause the market to react.