TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 14, 3:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether selected players record assists during the Germany vs Curacao FIFA World Cup match on June 14, 2026. Each market specifies a minimum assist threshold for a particular player, ranging from 1 assist to 3 assists. Players tracked include Florian Wirtz, Jamal Musiala, Joshua Kimmich, Kai Havertz, and Nico Schlotterbeck from Germany, and Tahith Chong from Curaçao.
Each market resolves to Yes if the specified player records at least the stated number of assists during the entire Germany vs Curacao FIFA World Cup match on June 14, 2026, including regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. If a player is active but never enters the game, the market settles to the last fair market price before kickoff. Once a player enters the game, settlement is determined by the total assists that player records.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on their risk management and profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders themselves, creating a crowdsourced probability estimate. This market aggregates the collective judgment of many participants, which can sometimes offer sharper or more reactive pricing than traditional sportsbooks. Comparing the two can reveal where public opinion and professional oddsmakers disagree on the likely number of assists in this match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the balance of supply and demand among participants. As traders place bids and asks, the market price adjusts in real time, with higher prices indicating greater confidence in that outcome. This continuous pricing process means the odds you see are always a live reflection of current market sentiment regarding the number of assists in the Germany vs Curacao match.
This market resolves around Jun 14, 2026, once the match concludes and the final assist count is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official statistics recorded for the event. Until that time, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new information and match developments influence their expectations. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, after official data has been confirmed and published.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before Jun 14, 2026. Team lineup announcements, injury reports, and tactical changes announced by either side can alter expectations about assist volume. Recent form, head-to-head history, and player performance trends also influence trader sentiment. Weather conditions and venue details may affect play style and passing patterns. Breaking news about player availability or coaching decisions can trigger sharp price movements. As the match approaches, real-time developments during the game itself—such as early goals, red cards, or substitutions—will drive the most dramatic shifts in market pricing.