TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 21, 4:13 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Germany scores 4 or more goals against Côte d’Ivoire during the Germany vs Côte d’Ivoire FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 20, 2026, 20:00 UTC, as recorded in the FIFA.com match report for this specific game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." This includes any goal credited to Germany, including own goals by Côte d’Ivoire players that count in Germany's favor. If the match is not played and completed with an official result by August 20, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO." If the data on the website is unavailable for 72 hours after the match is completed, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to "YES" if Germany scores 4 or more goals against Côte d’Ivoire during the Germany vs Côte d’Ivoire FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 20, 2026, 20:00 UTC, as recorded in the FIFA.com match report for this specific game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." This includes any goal credited to Germany, including own goals by Côte d’Ivoire players that count in Germany's favor. If the match is not played and completed with an official result by August 20, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO." If the data on the website is unavailable for 72 hours after the match is completed, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines based on their risk management and profit margins, while prediction markets are priced by traders wagering real money on outcomes. This market aggregates the collective judgment of many independent traders, which can sometimes identify value that sportsbooks miss—or vice versa. Comparing the implied probability here to major sportsbook lines on the same match can reveal where the two venues disagree on Germany's scoring likelihood, helping you spot potential edges.
On Limitless, traders buy and sell shares representing YES (Germany scores 4+ goals) or NO outcomes, with the share price directly reflecting the implied probability. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price adjusts continuously as new trades flow in, meaning early movers can lock in better odds before the match approaches and sentiment crystallizes. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to new information, so monitoring order book depth helps you understand execution costs at any given moment.
This market resolves around Jun 21, 2026, once the match between Germany and Côte d'Ivoire concludes and the final goal tally is verified. The outcome is determined by whether Germany's official goal count reaches four or exceeds it. Resolution is confirmed once the result is verifiable from credible public reporting of the match. Traders holding YES shares are paid out if Germany scores four or more goals; NO holders are paid out if the final tally is three or fewer.
Team news—injuries to key German forwards or defensive changes for Côte d'Ivoire—can shift scoring expectations significantly. Pre-match analysis, recent form, and head-to-head history will influence trader positioning as the fixture draws closer. Betting line movements at major sportsbooks often signal sharp money and can trigger repricing here. Weather conditions, venue factors, and any late tactical adjustments announced before kickoff may also prompt market moves. As the match date approaches, this market typically sees increased trading volume and volatility as conviction hardens around final probabilities.