TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 20, 7:13 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Germany and Ivory Coast (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for June 20, 2026, 20:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 20, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Germany and Ivory Coast (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for June 20, 2026, 20:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 20, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Limitless, the Germany and Ivory Coast 4+ cards outcome is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability that combined yellow and red cards will reach or exceed four. Traders buy or sell shares based on their conviction, with the price converging toward 0 or 100 cents as the match approaches and unfolds. Limitless pricing incorporates order-book depth, recent trades, and real-time match events, allowing traders to enter or exit positions dynamically throughout the trading window leading up to Jun 21, 2026.
The market resolves at Jun 21, 2026, following the conclusion of the Germany vs. Ivory Coast match. Resolution is determined by the total number of yellow and red cards issued to both teams combined during regular time and any added time. The outcome is binary: if the combined card count reaches 4 or more, the affirmative position resolves to 100; if the count remains below 4, it resolves to 0. Official match records and referee reports serve as the authoritative source for card tallies.
Several factors could shift the market price before Jun 21, 2026. Confirmed team lineups and injury updates may reveal aggressive or defensive tactical setups. Referee assignment announcements can signal stricter or more lenient card discipline. Early match events—such as fouls, confrontations, or aggressive play—directly influence trader expectations and card probability. Weather conditions, crowd intensity, and match stakes (tournament stage, playoff implications) also affect playing style and disciplinary outcomes. Real-time card issuances during the match will drive the most dramatic price movements as traders adjust to observed referee behavior.