TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 14, 4:13 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Germany and Curaçao (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for June 14, 2026, 17:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 14, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Germany and Curaçao (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for June 14, 2026, 17:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 14, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Limitless, the Germany and Curaçao card-count market is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability that combined cards reach or exceed four. Traders buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the implied probability derived from the current trading price. Pricing incorporates historical card rates for both teams, referee tendencies, player suspension status, and tactical expectations. As new information surfaces—such as lineup announcements or referee assignments—the price adjusts to reflect updated trader conviction about whether the threshold will be crossed.
The market resolves on Jun 15, 2026, following the conclusion of the Germany versus Curaçao match. Resolution is determined by the final count of yellow and red cards issued to both teams combined during regulation and any added time. The outcome is binary: if the total is 4 or more cards, the YES position wins; if fewer than 4 cards are issued, the NO position wins. Official match records from the governing football authority serve as the authoritative source for card tallies.
Key catalysts include official team lineups, which reveal whether aggressive or disciplined players are starting; referee assignment, since different officials issue cards at varying rates; recent form and injury news affecting tactical intensity; and any pre-match incidents or suspensions that alter team composition. During the match itself, early cards, aggressive play, or tactical fouls will drive real-time price swings. Historical head-to-head card data and each team's disciplinary record in recent tournaments also inform trader positioning before kickoff.