TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 8:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Westfalen Royals and Dusseldorf Blackcaps scheduled for 2026-09-04 in German Super League NRW T10. The outcome corresponding to Westfalen Royals will be considered correct if Westfalen Royals is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Dusseldorf Blackcaps will be considered correct if Dusseldorf Blackcaps is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Westfalen Royals and Dusseldorf Blackcaps scheduled for 2026-09-04 in German Super League NRW T10. The outcome corresponding to Westfalen Royals will be considered correct if Westfalen Royals is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Dusseldorf Blackcaps will be considered correct if Dusseldorf Blackcaps is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome, the odds on Polymarket may diverge. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbooks, especially when there’s strong public information or a clear edge available to informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the toss. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the probability. The higher the demand for shares representing a particular outcome, the higher the price, and the greater the implied probability.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official result of the toss – which team wins – will be used to determine the winning share. The resolution will be based on the official announcement made by the league organizers, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result and their holdings in the market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding team form, player availability, or even weather conditions on the day of the match could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or changes in the playing conditions could also impact the odds. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could cause significant price movements. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact is key to understanding how this market might evolve before it resolves.