TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 1:40 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between TV & TBV Lemgo and Aachen Rising Stars scheduled for 2026-09-05 in German Super League NRW T10. The outcome corresponding to TV & TBV Lemgo will be considered correct if TV & TBV Lemgo is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Aachen Rising Stars will be considered correct if Aachen Rising Stars is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between TV & TBV Lemgo and Aachen Rising Stars scheduled for 2026-09-05 in German Super League NRW T10. The outcome corresponding to TV & TBV Lemgo will be considered correct if TV & TBV Lemgo is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Aachen Rising Stars will be considered correct if Aachen Rising Stars is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives not immediately captured by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately predict the actual outcome of the toss. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team form, player availability, or even subtle factors influencing the toss itself. It's common to see prediction markets react quickly to new information, sometimes before sportsbooks adjust their lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on Polymarket, providing a constantly updated assessment of the toss's likely result.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the toss – whether Lemgo or Aachen Rising Stars win the toss, or if it results in a draw – will be sourced from official match reporting. The platform will then verify the outcome against these sources to determine the winning share(s) and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the definitive result, as this will be the basis for settlement.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding potential changes to the playing conditions, such as weather forecasts impacting the toss, could create movement. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or player fitness could also affect trader sentiment. Even general shifts in public opinion or increased media coverage surrounding either team might lead to changes in the price of shares. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the event is crucial for anyone participating in this market.