TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 4:04 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Over 0.5 goals will be scored in the Georgia vs. Northern Ireland UEFA Nations League match. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to this outcome. Resolution will be determined by the official match results reported on https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the match itself on September 25th at 12:00 PM ET, as that will directly determine whether Over 0.5 goals are scored and thus resolve this market.
More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for September 25 at 12:00 PM ET.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular result. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently as new information becomes available, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than traditional odds.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a specific outcome. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s potential results. The higher the demand for shares in a particular outcome, the higher its price will climb, indicating increased confidence from market participants. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects current expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Georgia vs. Northern Ireland match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sporting body. The market will then settle, and traders will receive payouts based on the final outcome and their positions in the market. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s result, aligned with the actual event outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before Sep 25, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly shift expectations. Major tactical announcements from either team’s management, or shifts in public sentiment based on expert analysis, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any significant developments in the broader context of international football, such as unexpected results in related qualifying matches, may also play a role in how this market evolves. These signals can all contribute to price movements.