TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 3:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the scoring performance of both teams in an upcoming college football game, focusing specifically on whether Arkansas or Georgia surpass various point thresholds. Each market corresponds to a different scoring benchmark that either team must exceed for the market to settle positively.
All markets resolve based on the official final score of the Georgia vs Arkansas college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. For each market, if the specified team scores more than the stated point threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the updated final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific scoring thresholds defined in each individual market.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their books and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregate beliefs of informed traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the odds on Kalshi may move independently of sportsbook adjustments. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events, as prediction markets can sometimes incorporate information more quickly and efficiently than traditional betting venues. This is a good place to compare expectations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe a particular team total is likely, they will bid up the price of contracts representing that outcome, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism based on real-time market sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the combined total points scored by both the Georgia and Arkansas teams in the official game will determine the result. The final score, as reported by official sources, will be used to determine which contracts payout. Traders should monitor official game results to understand the resolution of this market. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accurate settlement.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Key injuries to star players on either the Georgia or Arkansas teams would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, particularly if they affect the passing or running game, could also influence trader sentiment. Significant news regarding team strategy or coaching decisions might also move the market. Furthermore, any late-breaking information about player availability or team morale could lead to adjustments in the probabilities reflected on Kalshi. Monitoring these signals is crucial for informed trading.