TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 3:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the margin of victory for Georgia in their college football game against Arkansas. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively Georgia might win.
All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the Georgia vs Arkansas college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. If Georgia wins by exceeding the specified point margin defined in each market's primary rule, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. For games postponed but starting within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under extraordinary circumstances.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market aggregates the views of individuals incentivized to be accurate. While there can be alignment, differences frequently emerge due to varying information and risk assessments. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbook odds in response to new information, such as injury reports or weather forecasts, as traders react quickly to perceived advantages.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy contracts predicting a specific outcome, the price of those contracts increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Georgia versus Arkansas football game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Specifically, the market will determine whether the actual point difference falls within the ranges defined by the contracts traded on Kalshi. The outcome is based on the official result of the game as reported by a trusted sports data source, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Georgia or Arkansas teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced by either team could also move the market. Finally, public sentiment and large bet movements by informed traders on Kalshi can contribute to price changes as the game approaches.