TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 3:34 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how decisively either team wins the final quarter of a college football game between Georgia and Arkansas. Each outcome represents a different point margin threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team in the fourth quarter alone.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the fourth quarter (excluding overtime) of the designated Georgia vs Arkansas college football game. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the winning team exceeds the specified point margin threshold for that market during this period. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, trading remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve at a fair price. No overtime points count toward any resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can sometimes diverge from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by individuals predicting the outcome. If a significant difference emerges between the two, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual result of the game.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final 4th quarter spread of the Georgia-Arkansas football game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their stake. The final score will be the determining factor for settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Georgia or Arkansas would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse playing conditions, could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale might shift expectations. Even public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.