TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 2:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will lead at the end of the third quarter in an upcoming college football game between Georgia and Arkansas. It reflects the competitive momentum and scoring dynamics during that specific period of play. The outcome depends solely on third-quarter performance, regardless of the final game result.
If Arkansas wins the 3rd quarter of the Georgia vs Arkansas college football game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Georgia wins the 3rd quarter of the Georgia vs Arkansas college football game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 3rd quarter of the Georgia vs Arkansas college football game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe one team is more likely to win the 3rd quarter than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Kalshi will shift accordingly. This can sometimes result in more accurate predictions, as the market incorporates a wider range of information and perspectives than a single sportsbook.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers set the odds by placing bids and asks. The price of a 'yes' share for either Georgia or Arkansas winning the 3rd quarter represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, these prices will adjust, reflecting the evolving expectations for the game. The market depth shows the available liquidity at different price points, indicating the level of conviction among traders.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the 3rd quarter of the Georgia vs Arkansas football game will determine the outcome. The official game results, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to determine which outcome satisfies the conditions for market resolution. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game and verification of the results.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Key signals include any news regarding player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either Georgia or Arkansas. Weather conditions on game day could also play a role, potentially affecting the style of play and the likelihood of a specific outcome. Significant shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could also drive trading volume and price changes on Kalshi. Unexpected in-game events during the first half of the game might also cause traders to reassess their positions.