TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 2:31 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how decisively either team wins the third quarter of an upcoming college football game. Each outcome represents a different point margin threshold that determines whether the market settles as 'Yes' or 'No' based on the third-quarter scoring difference.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the third quarter of play in the Georgia vs Arkansas college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. For Georgia-based markets, resolution occurs if Georgia holds a scoring advantage exceeding the specified margin (ranging from 2.5 to 23.5 points) in that quarter. For Arkansas-based markets, resolution requires Arkansas to lead by more than the stated margin (2.5 to 10.5 points). If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official third-quarter result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price, reflecting the uncertainty created by the delay. The operator emphasizes no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all team-related intellectual property belongs to its respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market is driven purely by individuals predicting the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe Georgia will perform better than implied by sportsbook lines, the price of contracts favoring Georgia will increase. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Georgia-Arkansas game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the 3rd quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts predicting a larger Georgia lead, the price of those contracts rises, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its assessment of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the 3rd quarter of the Georgia-Arkansas game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data provider. Traders holding contracts on the winning side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their contract value. The final result will be publicly available on Kalshi following the game's conclusion.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Georgia or Arkansas teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s style of play, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, or even significant shifts in public perception based on expert analysis, could all contribute to fluctuations in the Georgia-Arkansas 3rd quarter spread.