TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 1:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first half of a college football game between Georgia and Arkansas. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold, allowing participants to bet on whether the winning team will exceed that margin in the first half.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Georgia vs Arkansas college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. For markets where Georgia is the favored team, resolution occurs if Georgia's point differential exceeds the specified threshold by the end of the first half. Conversely, for markets where Arkansas is the favored team, resolution occurs if Arkansas's point differential exceeds the specified threshold. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official first-half result. If the game fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which are often set by analysts. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public perception and team news, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook odds as new information emerges or as traders interpret existing information differently. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the likely outcome of the first half of the Georgia-Arkansas game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price of these contracts will adjust, providing a real-time assessment of the likely first-half spread in the Georgia-Arkansas football game.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread for the first half of the Georgia versus Arkansas football game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a trusted sports data source, ensuring an objective and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any significant news regarding injuries to key players on either the Georgia or Arkansas teams would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game significantly, could also shift the market. Additionally, any late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could influence traders’ perceptions and impact the price of contracts representing the Georgia-Arkansas football spread.