TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 1:17 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Georgia Tech or Stanford specifically within the third quarter of their upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team during that quarter alone.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the third quarter of play in the Georgia Tech vs Stanford college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. For markets where Georgia Tech is the designated winner, resolution occurs if Georgia Tech's third-quarter point differential exceeds the specified threshold (ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points). Conversely, markets where Stanford is the designated winner resolve if Stanford's third-quarter point differential exceeds the specified threshold (also ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points). If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows individuals to freely trade and express their beliefs about the game’s outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate differing opinions on the likely result or a potential arbitrage opportunity. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular spread, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, offering a real-time assessment of expectations for the Georgia Tech vs Stanford third quarter spread. The current price represents the market’s collective forecast.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the third quarter of the Georgia Tech vs Stanford game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a trusted sports data source. The contract corresponding to the actual point spread will pay out $100, while all other contracts will settle to $0. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the result is officially confirmed.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Georgia Tech or Stanford teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also move the market. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also cause shifts in trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create price movements as traders react to and anticipate further changes.