TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 12:11 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance difference between Georgia Tech and Stanford during the second quarter of their college football game. It focuses solely on the scoring dynamics within that specific quarter, ignoring the overall game outcome.
The event determines whether Georgia Tech or Stanford achieves a specified point differential victory in the second quarter of their college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points by which either team must win that quarter. For Georgia Tech, thresholds range from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points, while for Stanford, thresholds range similarly. Only points scored during the second quarter count toward resolution. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. The markets operate independently, with each requiring its specific point differential to be met for resolution to 'Yes'.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own analysis and information. If a significant number of traders believe a particular spread is likely, the price will move accordingly, potentially diverging from sportsbook lines. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the second quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct and lose if they are wrong. This dynamic creates a market-driven forecast of the game's second-quarter spread, constantly adjusting based on new information and trader sentiment. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the second quarter of the Georgia Tech vs Stanford game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of the game. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment. The final spread will be the determining factor for all contracts in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 27, 2026. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Georgia Tech or Stanford teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game's style of play, could also shift the spread. Even public perception, influenced by analyst predictions or media coverage, can affect trader sentiment and drive price fluctuations. Unexpected announcements related to team strategy or coaching decisions could also contribute to movement in this market.