TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 2:13 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how much one team outperforms the other in the second half of an upcoming college football game. The outcome depends solely on the point difference during that specific period, ignoring the first half entirely.
The event determines whether Georgia Tech or Stanford achieves a specified point differential advantage in the second half (including overtime) of their college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points by which either team must win the second half; thresholds range from narrow margins like over 2.5 points to substantial leads exceeding 20 points. Only points scored in the second half count toward resolution. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, it remains active and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve at a fair price. The operator emphasizes no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying on Kalshi and selling on a sportsbook (or vice versa). However, it’s important to note that sportsbooks and prediction markets have different costs and incentives, which can lead to sustained differences in pricing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the second half. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct and lose if they are wrong. This dynamic process leads to a market price that represents the collective intelligence of the crowd regarding the likely outcome of the game.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the second half of the Georgia Tech vs Stanford game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting a spread closer to the actual result will have a higher payout, while those further away will expire worthless. The official result will be sourced from established sports data providers to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Georgia Tech or Stanford teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact the market. Additionally, pre-game analysis from sports analysts and public betting trends could shift trader sentiment and affect the price. Finally, even in-game events during the first half could influence expectations for the second half and cause the market to react.