TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 11:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how decisively either Georgia Tech or Stanford might lead at the end of the first quarter in their upcoming college football matchup. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the bet to pay out.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first quarter of play in the Georgia Tech vs Stanford college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the winning team achieves a point differential exceeding the specified threshold (e.g., over 10.5 points, over 7.5 points, etc.). If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines that may be influenced by factors like public bias or promotional offers. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action on both sides, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the probability of different outcomes. Over time, the prices in this market often become more accurate forecasts than traditional odds, as they aggregate information from a diverse group of traders. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches, but discrepancies can still exist due to differing market participants and information access.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers submit bids and asks for contracts representing different point spreads. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that spread occurring in the first quarter. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The current price indicates the cost to buy or sell a contract, and changes dynamically based on supply and demand. This creates a real-time, market-driven forecast of the game’s first-quarter spread.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread in the first quarter of the Georgia Tech versus Stanford football game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting the actual spread will settle at 100, while those predicting a different spread will settle at 0. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and data, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome for this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Georgia Tech or Stanford teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s style of play, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could shift market sentiment. Even general public perception, as reflected in social media or sports news, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market as traders react to new information.