TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Georgia State Panthers and Appalachian State Mountaineers scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Georgia St. win or Appalachian St. win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard winner-take-all logic with explicit edge case handling.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market as currently stated cannot function—it lacks a No resolution condition. This is a data integrity failure. Polymarket's market is properly structured and should be used as the reference. Seek clarification from Kalshi before placing trades on their platform.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Both Georgia St. win and Appalachian St. win resolve to Yes. No No condition exists. Quote: 'If Georgia St. wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Appalachian St. wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility.Polymarket:
Standard winner-take-all: Georgia State Panthers win resolves to 'Georgia State Panthers', Appalachian State Mountaineers win resolves to 'Appalachian State Mountaineers'. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Quote: 'If the Georgia State Panthers win, the market will resolve to Georgia State Panthers. If the Appalachian State Mountaineers win, the market will resolve to Appalachian State Mountaineers.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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