TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 10:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the margin of victory in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively either team might win. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the bet to pay out.
All markets resolve based on the official final result of the Georgia St. vs UCF college football game scheduled for Sep 19, 2026. For markets where UCF must win by a specified margin, if UCF’s point differential exceeds that margin, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. For markets where Georgia St. must win by a specified margin, if Georgia St.’s point differential exceeds that margin, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Comparing the two can provide a broader perspective on the perceived probability of different outcomes, but remember that each represents a distinct form of forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the final spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The current price reflects the collective judgment of all participants on Kalshi, offering a unique perspective compared to static odds offered elsewhere. The market depth indicates the level of agreement or disagreement among traders.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Georgia St vs UCF game, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their stake. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data, ensuring a fair outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any significant news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting game conditions are also likely to cause movement. Major betting trends or large-volume trades on Kalshi could also indicate a change in expectations. Even public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can indirectly affect the market as traders incorporate new information into their predictions.