TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 7:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game. It includes scenarios where either team scores first or if no team manages to score a touchdown at all during the game, including any overtime periods.
The event determines the outcome based on which team scores the first touchdown in the Georgia St. vs Kennesaw St. college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026, or if no touchdown is scored. All types of touchdowns—offensive, defensive, and special teams—are counted toward the resolution. If the first touchdown occurs in overtime, it still counts for that team. Should neither team score a touchdown at any point in the game, including overtime, the 'No team scores a TD' market resolves as the winner. Postponements are handled such that if the game starts within 48 hours of its original time, trading continues and resolves based on the actual result. If the game does not start within that window, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals trading based on their own analysis and information. If a significant number of traders believe a team is more likely to score first than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Kalshi will shift accordingly. This can create opportunities for informed traders to find value discrepancies between the two.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly buying and selling contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting Georgia St. will score first, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective beliefs of traders. The current price represents the market's probability assessment of each team scoring first.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will settle based on which team is officially recorded as scoring the first touchdown in the Georgia St. vs Kennesaw St. game. The official game results will be used to determine the winning contract. Any disputes regarding the outcome will be resolved using publicly available game data and official sources.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, particularly quarterbacks or wide receivers, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if heavy rain or strong winds are predicted, could also shift the odds. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also move the market. Finally, as kickoff approaches and more information becomes available, increased trading volume will likely lead to price fluctuations.