TOTAL VOLUME:
$147.6b
24H VOL:
$185,329,595
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,799,378,420
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,813,258,821
507,072
Markets across
37,953
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,853
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Oct 17, 3:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether James Madison will win their college football game against Georgia State by more than 9.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to James Madison winning by over 9.5 points. Resolution will be determined based on the final score of the Georgia St. vs James Madison game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, as reported by the official game results; specifically, the market resolves to Yes if James Madison wins by more than 20.5 points. Keep an eye on the game itself on October 17, 2026, to see if James Madison can secure a decisive victory and confirm this outcome.
All markets resolve based on the official final result of the Georgia St. vs James Madison college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. Each market has a specific point threshold that determines a 'Yes' outcome—either James Madison winning by a specified margin or Georgia St. winning by a specified margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final score. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point-spread condition they selected.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. Often, prediction markets are seen as more accurate forecasters of event outcomes, as they aggregate diverse perspectives. However, sportsbook odds can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and promotional offers, leading to discrepancies with the probabilities expressed in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Georgia St. vs James Madison spread. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own assessments, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Georgia St. vs James Madison game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of college football. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their purchased contracts align with the actual spread at the end of the game. The platform will verify the result and distribute funds accordingly.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Georgia St. or James Madison would likely cause shifts in the spread. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also influence trading activity. Additionally, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale might prompt traders to reassess their positions. Public sentiment and large bets from informed traders could also contribute to movement in the Georgia St. vs James Madison spread.