TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,176,691
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,958,194
394,660
Markets across
30,119
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 12:13 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the point differential specifically within the third quarter of an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points by which either team must win that quarter to settle the outcome.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the third quarter of play in the Georgia Southern vs Clemson college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team wins the quarter by more than the stated point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and analysis, leading to a potentially more accurate reflection of the true probability of the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts closer to the event date.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the 3rd quarter spread. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the 'yes' outcome (Clemson wins by over 7.5 points). As more traders buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants and adjusts in real-time based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final 3rd quarter spread of the Georgia Southern vs Clemson game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, and the market will settle to 100 if Clemson wins by more than 7.5 points, and to 0 otherwise. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. News regarding injuries to key players on either team, changes in weather forecasts, or significant shifts in public perception could all impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or coaching decisions might also cause the market to react. Even late-breaking news about player availability or performance could lead to substantial price movements in this market as traders adjust their expectations.