TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 10:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the outcome of the first quarter in an upcoming college football game. Each market evaluates different point spreads to determine whether one team will dominate the other within the first 15 minutes of play.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first quarter of the Georgia Southern vs Clemson college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the listed team wins the quarter by the specified point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, markets remain active and resolve according to the actual first-quarter result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The contests are strictly for informational purposes and carry no official affiliation with the NCAA.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome, or that one venue has incorporated information the other hasn’t. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions about the first quarter spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches. The current price indicates what traders collectively believe the spread will be.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread in the first quarter of the Georgia Southern versus Clemson game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and their payout status on Kalshi following the game’s conclusion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Clemson or Georgia Southern teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing or running game, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could impact trader sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.