TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 11:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first half of an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold for how many points one team might win by over the other during the first half, allowing participants to bet on various possible outcomes.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the designated college football game. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Each individual market resolves to 'Yes' only if the specified team wins the first half by more points than the stated threshold; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The markets cover a range of possible point differentials for both teams, providing multiple opportunities to predict varying degrees of victory in the first half.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or breaking news. While sportsbooks may initially react to news, this market can quickly incorporate a wider range of opinions, potentially leading to more accurate predictions as the event approaches. Keep in mind that both represent probabilities of an outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the first half. The price of each contract reflects the market's probability of that spread occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular spread, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders collectively believe is the most likely outcome, and it changes dynamically based on supply and demand. This creates a real-time assessment of the game’s potential first-half spread.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the actual point spread at the end of the first half of the Georgia Southern versus Clemson football game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics reported by a trusted source, ensuring an objective and verifiable result. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while others will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Clemson or Georgia Southern teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse playing conditions, could also impact the spread. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, large-volume trades on Kalshi themselves can create price fluctuations, as traders react to new information or attempt to capitalize on perceived opportunities.