TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 2:00 PM EST
Kalshi
The match will determine whether more than a specific number of goals are scored within the standard 90-minute playtime, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout.
These markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored by both teams during the standard 90 minutes of play, plus any stoppage time, but excluding extra time and penalty shootouts. Each market has a different threshold for the total goals needed to resolve to 'Yes'. If the actual number of goals exceeds the specified threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The outcome is determined solely by the regulation time score, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of related trademarks.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the probability of different outcomes. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. It's a useful comparison point for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and provide a real-time assessment of the likely event outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of goals scored during regulation time in the Genoa vs Sudtirol Bolzano match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. The platform will verify the result against established sports data providers to ensure accuracy and transparency in the resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Genoa or Sudtirol Bolzano would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also shift the market. Even pre-match analysis from respected football commentators or unexpected lineup announcements could prompt traders to adjust their positions, leading to price fluctuations in this market.