TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 2:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event involves a football match between two teams competing in a national cup tournament. The outcome depends on whether both teams manage to score at least one goal during the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee. The focus is solely on the goals scored within this standard match duration.
If Genoa and Sudtirol Bolzano both score a goal in the Genoa vs Sudtirol Bolzano Coppa Italia match originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market’s pricing is determined by many individuals actively trading. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of volume accumulates. Comparing the implied probabilities from both sources can be a useful strategy for informed decision-making, but remember that both represent forecasts, not guarantees, of the event’s outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both Genoa and Sudtirol will score during regulation time. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in a ‘Yes’ outcome; conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Genoa and Sudtirol score at least one goal each during regulation time in their match. The result will be determined by official match data and statistics, ensuring an objective and verifiable outcome. The final price on Kalshi will reflect whether both teams scored, and contracts will be settled accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 15, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Genoa or Sudtirol would likely cause movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements or pre-match analysis suggesting a change in attacking strategy could also shift the market. Significant betting activity or large volume trades on Kalshi itself will also directly affect the price, reflecting shifts in collective belief.