TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 1:13 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Valerio Aboian and Luca Castagnola in the Genoa, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Aboian' if Valerio Aboian advances against Luca Castagnola. This market will resolve to 'Luca Castagnola' if Luca Castagnola advances against Valerio Aboian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Valerio Aboian and Luca Castagnola in the Genoa, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Aboian' if Valerio Aboian advances against Luca Castagnola. This market will resolve to 'Luca Castagnola' if Luca Castagnola advances against Valerio Aboian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and profit margins, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the diverse perspectives of participants. If significant differences emerge, arbitrage opportunities may present themselves, as traders attempt to profit from the mispricing between the two. It’s important to compare these odds to those offered by sportsbooks to gain a broader understanding of expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Genoa Aboian vs Luca Castagnola match. The platform will rely on publicly available and authoritative sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders should monitor official announcements and results following the match to understand how this market will be settled. The final outcome will be determined by the official result of the match.
Several signals could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in strategy could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements regarding match conditions, such as weather forecasts or venue changes, might also impact the odds. Furthermore, broader news related to the teams or the sport itself could play a role. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also contribute to price movements, as traders react to evolving expectations.