TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 8:53 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Hugo Dellien will win with a set handicap of -1.5 against Matej Dodig in their Genoa tennis match. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to Dellien achieving this set handicap. The resolution source for this market is the official ATP Tour website at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the match itself, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET, as the outcome will be determined by the official result reported on the ATP Tour website following the conclusion of the match.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Dellien and Matej Dodig in the Genoa, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Dellien' if Hugo Dellien advances against Matej Dodig. This market will resolve to 'Matej Dodig' if Matej Dodig advances against Hugo Dellien. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise from differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of the market as new information emerges. Examining these differences can reveal insights into public perception versus professional analysis regarding the Dellien vs Dodig match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Dellien vs Dodig match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The current price reflects the aggregated expectations of all participants on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Dellien vs Dodig match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will reflect the official winner as determined by the tournament organizers. Resolution will occur promptly after the match concludes and the official results are available. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 16, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like court surface or weather), or updated player rankings could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even general tennis news, might also play a role. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed participants could also cause noticeable price movements in this market.