TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 1:05 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Dellien and Felipe Meligeni Alves in the Genoa, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Dellien' if Hugo Dellien advances against Felipe Meligeni Alves. This market will resolve to 'Felipe Meligeni Alves' if Felipe Meligeni Alves advances against Hugo Dellien. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Dellien and Felipe Meligeni Alves in the Genoa, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Dellien' if Hugo Dellien advances against Felipe Meligeni Alves. This market will resolve to 'Felipe Meligeni Alves' if Felipe Meligeni Alves advances against Hugo Dellien. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on the incentives of participants who are financially motivated to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd diverges from professional oddsmakers, potentially identifying undervalued or overvalued opportunities in the Dellien vs Meligeni Alves match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Dellien vs Meligeni Alves match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective probability assigned to each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the match gets, the more responsive the price will be to new information and shifts in sentiment. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds remain current and competitive, representing the most up-to-date assessment of the likely winner.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Dellien vs Meligeni Alves match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The market will determine which player won the match, and shares will be settled accordingly. It's important to note that the official result is the sole determinant of the outcome, and any disputes regarding the match itself will not affect the market’s resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the Dellien vs Meligeni Alves match takes place. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing surface conditions, or significant shifts in player form could all impact market sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts at the match location might also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in expectations, causing the odds to shift. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price movements.