TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 10:20 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Iannaccone and Alexander Weis in the Genoa, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 6:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Federico Iannaccone' if Federico Iannaccone advances against Alexander Weis. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Weis' if Alexander Weis advances against Federico Iannaccone. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Iannaccone and Alexander Weis in the Genoa, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 6:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Federico Iannaccone' if Federico Iannaccone advances against Alexander Weis. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Weis' if Alexander Weis advances against Federico Iannaccone. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the likelihood of a particular outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies and information sources.
On Polymarket, the price of shares in this market is determined by supply and demand, reflecting traders' predictions about the Iannaccone vs Weis match. Traders can buy 'yes' shares if they believe a specific outcome will occur, or 'no' shares if they believe it won't. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy 'yes' shares, the price increases, indicating a higher probability of that outcome. Conversely, increased selling pressure on 'yes' shares lowers the price. This continuous auction process establishes a real-time market consensus on the likelihood of each potential result.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Iannaccone vs Weis match, as determined by the governing body of the competition. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome. It’s important to monitor news sources and official announcements leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the event’s result.
News concerning the condition or preparation of either Federico Iannaccone or Alexander Weis could significantly impact this market. Any reports of injuries, changes in training schedules, or strategic adjustments could all influence traders’ beliefs about the likely outcome of the match. Additionally, expert analysis and commentary on the players’ strengths and weaknesses could also drive price movements. This market will resolve around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome verified against credible public reporting.