TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 2:49 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Duje Ajdukovic and Filippo Romano in the Genoa, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Duje Ajdukovic' if Duje Ajdukovic advances against Filippo Romano. This market will resolve to 'Filippo Romano' if Filippo Romano advances against Duje Ajdukovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Duje Ajdukovic and Filippo Romano in the Genoa, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Duje Ajdukovic' if Duje Ajdukovic advances against Filippo Romano. This market will resolve to 'Filippo Romano' if Filippo Romano advances against Duje Ajdukovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. Consequently, the implied probabilities derived from this market may differ from sportsbook offerings, potentially revealing insights not captured by conventional betting venues. Discrepancies can arise from differing information sources, varying levels of expertise among market participants, and the influence of public sentiment on both types of odds.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the collective wisdom of the traders. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to changes in perceived probabilities regarding the Ajdukovic vs Romano match.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Ajdukovic vs Romano match as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. The final result will be publicly available on Polymarket following verification.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Sep 14, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving either player might also shift perceptions of their overall ability and influence the market. Furthermore, major announcements about the tournament itself, such as changes to the schedule or court surface, could introduce new variables and cause the market to react. Public endorsements or critical analysis from tennis experts could also play a role in shaping market opinion.