TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 12:16 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Luka Mikrut and Carlo Alberto Caniato in the Genoa 2, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luka Mikrut' if Luka Mikrut advances against Carlo Alberto Caniato. This market will resolve to 'Carlo Alberto Caniato' if Carlo Alberto Caniato advances against Luka Mikrut. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Luka Mikrut and Carlo Alberto Caniato in the Genoa 2, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luka Mikrut' if Luka Mikrut advances against Carlo Alberto Caniato. This market will resolve to 'Carlo Alberto Caniato' if Carlo Alberto Caniato advances against Luka Mikrut. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and risk management. This market, driven by informed traders on Polymarket, may incorporate different information or weight factors differently, leading to odds that diverge from those found at sportsbooks. It's important to compare and contrast to identify potential value or discrepancies in the perceived probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities based on collective sentiment. The current price reflects what traders are willing to pay for exposure to the potential result of the Mikrut vs Caniato match.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Mikrut vs Caniato match, as declared by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result.
Several signals could influence this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries to either Luka Mikrut or Carlo Alberto Caniato, or changes in coaching strategies could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in public perception of their abilities, could also impact the odds. Furthermore, major upsets in similar matches or the release of updated rankings could all contribute to movement in this market, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.