TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 2:03 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Giuseppe La Vela and Giovanni Oradini in the Genoa 2, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giuseppe La Vela' if Giuseppe La Vela advances against Giovanni Oradini. This market will resolve to 'Giovanni Oradini' if Giovanni Oradini advances against Giuseppe La Vela. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Giuseppe La Vela and Giovanni Oradini in the Genoa 2, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giuseppe La Vela' if Giuseppe La Vela advances against Giovanni Oradini. This market will resolve to 'Giovanni Oradini' if Giovanni Oradini advances against Giuseppe La Vela. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of prediction markets. It’s common to see prediction market prices move more quickly in response to new information than sportsbook odds, as they benefit from continuous trading and updated perspectives.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Genoa 2 tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the match gets, the more volatile the price may become as new information emerges and traders refine their predictions. The current price reflects the collective expectation of all participants on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Genoa 2 tennis match between Giuseppe La Vela and Giovanni Oradini. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final match results as they approach the resolution date.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader tournament news, could also have an impact. As the match draws closer, even minor updates – such as weather forecasts or pre-match interviews – may cause price fluctuations as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest information available.