TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 6:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Iannaccone and Luka Mikrut in the Genoa 2, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Federico Iannaccone' if Federico Iannaccone advances against Luka Mikrut. This market will resolve to 'Luka Mikrut' if Luka Mikrut advances against Federico Iannaccone. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Iannaccone and Luka Mikrut in the Genoa 2, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Federico Iannaccone' if Federico Iannaccone advances against Luka Mikrut. This market will resolve to 'Luka Mikrut' if Luka Mikrut advances against Federico Iannaccone. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comparing prediction market odds to sportsbook odds reveals how public sentiment differs from professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders. Discrepancies can arise from differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. If significant differences exist, it might suggest the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome in the Iannaccone vs Mikrut match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price of shares adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's likelihood. The current price indicates the market's collective forecast for the Iannaccone vs Mikrut match.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Iannaccone vs Mikrut match, as declared by the governing tennis authorities. The platform will verify this information against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries to either Iannaccone or Mikrut, or changes in playing conditions (court surface, weather) could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader shifts in public opinion about their performance, could also lead to price fluctuations. Major upsets in related tennis events, or even significant media coverage, could all contribute to changes in the market's assessment of the Iannaccone vs Mikrut match.