TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 8:29 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlo Alberto Caniato and Lorenzo Berto in the Genoa 2, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlo Alberto Caniato' if Carlo Alberto Caniato advances against Lorenzo Berto. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Berto' if Lorenzo Berto advances against Carlo Alberto Caniato. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlo Alberto Caniato and Lorenzo Berto in the Genoa 2, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlo Alberto Caniato' if Carlo Alberto Caniato advances against Lorenzo Berto. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Berto' if Lorenzo Berto advances against Carlo Alberto Caniato. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own analysis and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can express that view through their trades, causing the odds on Polymarket to diverge. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional forecasts, especially when there’s strong public interest and informed trading activity.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on Polymarket, providing a forward-looking assessment of the event’s likely result.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Genoa 2 tennis match between Carlo Alberto Caniato and Lorenzo Berto. The platform will verify the result against widely available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader trends in tennis, could also impact the odds. Major upsets in related tournaments or significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or analyst predictions, might also lead to movement in this market. The closer we get to Sep 29, 2026, the more sensitive the market will be to new information.