TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK - Second Half Result
limitless
polymarket
kalshi

Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK - Second Half Result

Volume:
$474,744

Fenerbahce

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 15, 2026

Closed: Aug 5, 4:29 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Fenerbahce

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$207,671
N/A
N/A
$165,012
Settled
Yes
limitless

Fenerbahçe

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
-0.3¢
N/A
$1,501
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Gençlerbirliği SK

100%
88%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$122
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sturm Graz

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$181,374
N/A
N/A
$130,506
Settled
No
limitless

Sturm Graz

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.8¢
N/A
$2,545
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$79,002
N/A
N/A
$49,295
Settled
No
limitless

Draw

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.7¢
N/A
$2,518
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw

0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fenerbahçe SK

0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks the second half result of the Süper Lig soccer match between Gençlerbirliği SK and Fenerbahçe SK. The aggregated consensus probability for Fenerbahçe SK to win the second half is 54.5%, with Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Second half draw? at 31.0%. Data comes from Limitless, Polymarket, and Kalshi, with resolution based on official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Watch the August 15, 2026 match for the definitive outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms share identical resolution logic for determining the second half result, focusing exclusively on goals scored during the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolve to "Gençlerbirliği SK" if they score more goals than Fenerbahçe SK in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time
  • Resolve to "Draw" if both teams score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time
  • Resolve to "Fenerbahçe SK" if they score more goals than Gençlerbirliği SK in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time
  • If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, resolve to "Draw"

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Game Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves to "Draw"
  • Delayed Statistics: If official statistics are not published within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead
Timing: Resolution occurs after the completion of the match, based on official statistics or credible reporting if official data is delayedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming Süper Lig game between Gençlerbirliği SK and Fenerbahçe SK, scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Gençlerbirliği SK" if Gençlerbirliği SK score more goals than Fenerbahçe SK in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Gençlerbirliği SK and Fenerbahçe SK score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Fenerbahçe SK" if Fenerbahçe SK score more goals than Gençlerbirliği SK in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz professional Champions League soccer match originally scheduled for August 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: Fenerbahçe win, Sturm Graz win, or a tie. If the match concludes with a victory for either team within regular time, the respective market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s rules. The resolution strictly considers the result after regular time, with no account for extra time or penalty shootouts.

Limitless

This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for August 4, 2026, 17:00 UTC. If the match is canceled within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, this market will resolve based on the official data recorded at the time of cancellation. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than October 3, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to unique trader dynamics and betting constraints. While sportsbooks may set lines based on broader public betting patterns and analytical models, prediction markets let participants bet directly on outcomes, incorporating real-time information and sentiment. This can lead to more volatile pricing, especially as new data emerges. Traders should watch for gaps between the two, as they may signal shifts in perception or mispricings worth exploring.