TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 10, 3:09 PM EST
Kalshi
The 2026 Genesis Scottish Open is a professional golf tournament held in Scotland. These markets track whether individual golfers successfully advance past the cut, which determines who continues competing in the final rounds of the event.
Each golfer's market resolves to Yes if that player makes the cut at the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open. If a golfer forfeits, withdraws, or does not participate prior to teeing off, the market resolves to Fair Market Value. If a golfer forfeits, withdraws, or does not participate after teeing off, the market resolves to No.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders seeking to profit on accurate forecasts. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper or earlier price discovery on cut-making outcomes, particularly as new information emerges closer to the tournament. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes on cut-making at the Genesis Scottish Open. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the aggregate belief of market participants about the likelihood of the event. As new trades execute, prices adjust in real time, allowing the market to incorporate breaking news, injury reports, or shifts in player performance data throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jul 10, 2026, once the Genesis Scottish Open concludes and cut results are finalized. The outcome is determined by verified tournament data confirming which players advanced past the cut. Resolution occurs after credible public sources confirm the official leaderboard and cut line, ensuring accuracy before payouts are distributed to winning traders.
Several catalysts can shift prices in this market before resolution. Player injuries or withdrawals announced before the tournament will immediately reprrice odds for affected golfers. Recent tournament results and world ranking changes signal form and confidence. Weather forecasts for the course, course setup changes, and field composition updates all influence trader expectations. Media coverage of player momentum, equipment changes, or personal circumstances can also trigger repricing as new information becomes available to the market.