TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 8:48 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the tennis match between Yannick Hanfmann and Sebastian Baez at the Generali Open will be completed, with the current probability of a completed match sitting at 99.6% on Polymarket. The resolution source for this market is the official ATP Tour website. The specific catalyst to watch for is the match scheduled for July 24, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET, which will determine whether the match is completed or not, with the market set to resolve by July 31, 2026.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yannick Hanfmann and Sebastian Baez in the Generali Open, originally scheduled for July 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yannick Hanfmann' if Yannick Hanfmann advances against Sebastian Baez. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Yannick Hanfmann. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader-driven pricing and unique betting mechanics. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on analytics and risk management, this market reflects crowd wisdom and can show sharper or more volatile shifts. Traders on Polymarket set prices freely, so you may see divergent views compared to established sportsbooks.
This market resolves around Jul 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, and the platform will update the market accordingly based on confirmed data from reliable sources.