TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 5:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a competitive Rainbow Six Siege match between Geekay Esports and Fnatic, part of the Europe MENA League Stage 2 2026. The result depends entirely on which team claims victory in the match scheduled for September 22, 2026. Any changes to the match schedule or cancellation will follow specific resolution guidelines.
The market resolves based on the result of the Rainbow Six Siege match between Geekay Esports and Fnatic scheduled for September 22, 2026, at 4:00 PM EDT, within the Europe MENA League Stage 2 2026. If the match is postponed and does not commence within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, or if it is cancelled or forfeited prior to any play, the market resolves to the fair market price. If the match begins and is later forfeited, the market resolves according to the official result declared by the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. This is because prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, allowing the collective intelligence of traders to influence pricing. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market reflects what a diverse group of individuals believe will happen. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams’ strengths and weaknesses. It’s useful to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts, and the price fluctuates based on supply and demand. A higher price indicates a greater perceived probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the market’s collective assessment of Geekay Esports and Fnatic's chances of winning, taking into account available information and potential future developments. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, leading to a dynamic and responsive pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Geekay Esports vs. Fnatic match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team declared the winner by the official tournament organizers will determine the settlement of this market. Traders holding contracts on the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing team will not. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on publicly available information.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 23, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or strategic changes within either Geekay Esports or Fnatic could significantly shift expectations. Major upsets in other recent matches involving these teams, or changes in the overall competitive landscape, could also play a role. Even social media sentiment and expert analysis, if widely circulated, may impact trading activity and, consequently, the market price. Unexpected announcements related to the tournament itself could also move this market.