TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 2:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the performance gap between two soccer teams in an upcoming match. It focuses on the difference in goals scored during regular time, highlighting various thresholds for victory margins. The outcomes depend solely on the final score after 90 minutes of play, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
These markets resolve based on the goal differential between Gd Messejanense and Gd Portel in their professional Taca de Portugal soccer match scheduled for August 30, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time—excluding extra time and penalties. Four distinct outcome thresholds are defined: Gd Messejanense winning by more than 2.5 goals, Gd Messejanense winning by more than 1.5 goals, Gd Portel winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Gd Portel winning by more than 2.5 goals. If the final score meets or exceeds any of these specified victory margins for the respective team, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. All markets are independent, and each evaluates its condition separately without influence from the others. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, the regulation time spread market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often diverge from sportsbook odds due to different participant motivations and information sources. Traders on Kalshi may price in nuanced factors or real-time developments that sportsbooks, with their broader public audience, might not fully incorporate. This can lead to variations in implied probabilities. Observing both sides provides a richer view of market expectations versus mainstream betting trends.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous trading where participants submit bids and asks to determine the current probability. The top outcome’s chance reflects the collective assessment of all traders on the platform. Volume of $0 and recent 24-hour volume of $0 indicate liquidity and recent interest. Traders on Kalshi may adjust positions based on new analysis or shifting expectations unique to this venue.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the actual goal differential at the end of regulation time, without any overtime or penalty considerations.
In the run-up to Aug 30, 2026, several signals could shift this market. Key performances, player injuries, or tactical changes may alter expectations for the regulation time spread. Media reports, expert analysis, and fan sentiment often influence trader behavior. As the match approaches, updated polling or betting trends might also reflect new information, prompting traders on Kalshi to adjust their positions based on emerging insights and evolving forecasts.