TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
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24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 7:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both the Green Bay Packers and the Minnesota Vikings during the third quarter of their upcoming football game. Each market has a different threshold for the combined points that need to be exceeded for the outcome to be considered successful.
These markets evaluate whether the combined points scored by the Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings during the third quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the third quarter of play, with each threshold defining a unique resolution criterion. If the total points surpass the threshold set for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The markets are independent, and the outcome of one does not affect the others. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are often set by experts and can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and risk management. This market, however, allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs about the game's outcome, leading to a potentially more accurate forecast. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, as prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions while sportsbooks focus on profit margins and perceived advantages.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total points scored in the third quarter will be over or under a specified number. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of the expected scoring performance in the third quarter of the game.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point total scored during the third quarter of the Packers versus Vikings game will be used to determine whether the 'over' or 'under' contract wins. The official NFL game statistics will serve as the definitive source for the total points scored, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game ends. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Packers or the Vikings would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first and second quarters, such as a dominant offensive showing or a defensive struggle, could shift expectations and drive price fluctuations in this market. Public sentiment and betting trends could also play a role.