TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 7:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the performance difference between the Green Bay Packers and the Minnesota Vikings specifically during the third quarter of their upcoming football game. Each market evaluates different point spreads to determine which team will dominate that quarter by a certain margin.
These markets resolve based on the point differential between the Green Bay Packers and the Minnesota Vikings exclusively during the third quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026. Each market specifies a different threshold for the point spread, ranging from narrow margins like over 1.5 points to larger margins like over 10.5 points, depending on which team is projected to win the quarter. The outcome is determined solely by points scored during the third quarter, with no consideration for the overall game result or points from other quarters. All markets operate independently, meaning each resolves based on its specific point spread condition being met or not.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Packers-Vikings 3rd quarter spread.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the Packers-Vikings 3rd quarter spread. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the collective believes is the true probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing expectations surrounding the game.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the third quarter of the Packers-Vikings game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the league, and the contracts will pay out accordingly to those who correctly predicted the spread. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Packers or the Vikings would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team's style of play, could also move the market. Additionally, any late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could shift trader sentiment and affect the price of contracts related to the Packers-Vikings 3rd quarter spread.