TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 6:31 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the outcome of the second quarter in an upcoming football game between the Green Bay Packers and the Minnesota Vikings. Each market corresponds to different point spreads that either team needs to achieve during that specific quarter to resolve as 'Yes'.
The markets resolve based on the point differential between the Green Bay Packers and the Minnesota Vikings exclusively during the second quarter of their game scheduled for September 13, 2026. Each market specifies a different threshold for the point spread that must be exceeded by either team to resolve as 'Yes'. For markets where the Vikings win by a margin greater than the specified spread (ranging from 1.5 to 10.5 points), the outcome is 'Yes'. Conversely, markets where the Packers win by a margin greater than the specified spread (ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points) also resolve to 'Yes'. Only points scored during the second quarter count toward these resolutions, and the markets are independent of any broader game outcome or points scored in other quarters.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates opinions from many individuals. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or breaking news. However, as the event approaches, this market and sportsbook odds often converge, as new information is incorporated into both.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Packers-Vikings 2nd quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving expectations. The goal is to create a market where the prices accurately forecast the eventual outcome of the second quarter spread.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the actual point spread achieved in the second quarter of the Packers-Vikings game. The official result will be sourced from reliable sports data providers and will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders holding contracts on the winning spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing spreads will not.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Packers or Vikings would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also move the market. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants could signal shifts in sentiment and cause prices to adjust rapidly.