TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 7:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either the Minnesota Vikings or the Green Bay Packers in the second half of their football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered valid.
These markets resolve based on the point differential in the second half (excluding overtime) of the designated Pro Football game between the GB Packers and MIN Vikings. Each market has a specific threshold: if the Vikings win the second half by more than the stated points, the corresponding 'Yes' outcome for Vikings markets is triggered. Conversely, if the Packers win by more than the threshold, the corresponding 'Yes' outcome for Packers markets resolves. Only points scored during the second half count, and all markets are independent, each requiring its own distinct point differential to be met or exceeded for resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals freely trading contracts based on their own beliefs. This can lead to differences in perceived probabilities, especially as new information emerges. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, potentially offering an edge to informed traders who identify discrepancies.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers set the prices for contracts representing different outcomes for the Packers-Vikings second half spread. Contracts are priced between 0 and 100, representing the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price is determined by supply and demand; if more people believe the Vikings will cover, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the second half of the Packers-Vikings game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Specifically, the market will determine whether the Vikings win the second half by more than 2.5 points, or by less. The official result will be sourced from established sports data providers to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Packers or Vikings would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the passing or running game, could also shift the odds. In-game performance during the first half, such as a dominant offensive showing by one team, could also lead to traders adjusting their positions and impacting the price of contracts in this market.