TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 5:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting the outcome of the first quarter in an upcoming football game between the Green Bay Packers and the Minnesota Vikings. Specifically, it evaluates whether one team will dominate the other by a certain margin of points within that initial segment of the game.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in favor of either the Minnesota Vikings or the Green Bay Packers during the first quarter of their scheduled game on September 13, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of points by which either team must win the quarter: thresholds include victories by more than 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, and 10.5 points. Only points scored during the first quarter count toward resolving these markets. If the specified team meets or exceeds the designated point differential threshold in their favor, the respective market resolves to 'Yes.' If not, it resolves to 'No.' All markets are independent, and the outcome of one does not affect the others. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning with, but sometimes diverging from, traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market allows individuals to express their beliefs, potentially revealing information not fully captured by sportsbooks. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on injuries, weather conditions, or other factors influencing the game. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially leading to odds movements that differ from those seen at sportsbooks.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official first quarter spread of the game between the GB Packers and MIN Vikings, as determined by official game statistics. The final spread will be compared to the contract threshold of 6.5 points to determine whether the 'over' or 'under' outcome is realized. Traders holding contracts on the correct side will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Packers or Vikings would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing or running game, could also shift predictions. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team dynamics might also play a role. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a shift in sentiment, potentially driving price changes in this market.