TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
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24H TRANSACTIONS:
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 6:20 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance gap between the Green Bay Packers and the Minnesota Vikings in the first half of their upcoming football game. They focus on whether one team can establish a significant lead over the other within the initial 30 minutes of play.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential between the Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings during the first half of their scheduled game on September 13, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the winning team exceeds the specified point margin outlined in each individual market—ranging from over 2.5 to over 10.5 points—for that team. Only points scored in the first half count toward resolution, and all markets operate independently with distinct threshold values. The markets cover both possible winners (Packers and Vikings) and various incremental point spreads, allowing participants to speculate on the magnitude of the lead either team might establish before halftime.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe the Packers will perform better than expected, the price will move in that direction, potentially creating an edge compared to initial sportsbook lines. However, as the event approaches, these odds tend to converge as more information becomes available and both markets incorporate new data.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. Each contract represents a potential outcome for the Packers-Vikings 1st half spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the spread.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first half spread result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the NFL, specifically the final point spread difference at the end of the first half of the game between the Packers and the Vikings. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted whether the Packers would cover the spread, based on the final score.
Several factors could influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Packers or the Vikings would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the passing or running game, could also shift the market. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could affect trader sentiment and lead to price fluctuations. Public perception, driven by expert analysis and media coverage, also plays a role in shaping the market’s direction.